Fertility decline and below-replacement birth rates
What sub-replacement fertility across most of the world implies for the working-age share over two generations.
Convened 2014
Open-access briefs & proceedings
Research Briefs & Proceedings
An independent academic resource convening peer-informed briefs on how demographic change and the environment shape one another.
Silo 01
What sub-replacement fertility across most of the world implies for the working-age share over two generations.
Projecting old-age support ratios and the distribution of care needs as smaller cohorts move through the population.
Silo 02
Evidence on rural-to-urban movement following recurrent drought, and the limits of mobility as an adaptive strategy.
Why movement recorded as temporary often becomes permanent, and what that means for receiving cities.
Silo 03
How repeated climate shocks turn movement recorded as temporary into permanent urban settlement.
How demographic composition and per-capita consumption mediate the relationship between population and the environment.
Silo 04
What the latest assessment of Earth-system limits means for population and consumption pressure.
Trade-offs between settlement, agriculture and protected-area expansion in high-growth regions.
About the symposium
The symposium convenes researchers, practitioners and graduate students to circulate concise, evidence-led briefs at the intersection of demography and the environment.
Each brief distils a body of published research into a short, citable summary with figures and sources. Material is open-access and intended for teaching, policy reference and further reading. The resource is independent and is not affiliated with the University of Oxford; the name reflects the academic tradition the work draws on.
Briefs are reviewed by the editorial team and prepared with AI assistance under human oversight, with the method disclosed on each page.